Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.004327 0.004551 0.004782 0.005038 0.005312 0.005600 0.005924
2025-10-12 0.003983 0.004320 0.004681 0.005098 0.005570 0.006088 0.006705
2025-10-19 0.003715 0.004110 0.004545 0.005064 0.005670 0.006360 0.007212
2025-10-26 0.003515 0.003949 0.004439 0.005038 0.005756 0.006598 0.007673
2025-11-02 0.003344 0.003806 0.004337 0.005000 0.005813 0.006791 0.008077
2025-11-09 0.003266 0.003764 0.004346 0.005087 0.006017 0.007165 0.008720
2025-11-16 0.003134 0.003648 0.004257 0.005046 0.006055 0.007327 0.009093
2025-11-23 0.003033 0.003563 0.004200 0.005037 0.006128 0.007532 0.009530
2025-11-30 0.002911 0.003446 0.004097 0.004963 0.006109 0.007610 0.009791
2025-12-07 0.002806 0.003345 0.004008 0.004902 0.006101 0.007699 0.010069
2025-12-14 0.002732 0.003280 0.003963 0.004893 0.006160 0.007878 0.010483
2025-12-21 0.002605 0.003144 0.003819 0.004747 0.006025 0.007779 0.010480
2025-12-28 0.002554 0.003103 0.003799 0.004768 0.006122 0.008014 0.010992
2026-01-04 0.002520 0.003085 0.003807 0.004826 0.006272 0.008330 0.011649
2026-01-11 0.002454 0.003020 0.003752 0.004794 0.006291 0.008455 0.012013
2026-01-18 0.002394 0.002964 0.003704 0.004770 0.006319 0.008592 0.012403
2026-01-25 0.002335 0.002904 0.003651 0.004735 0.006329 0.008700 0.012750
2026-02-01 0.002320 0.002905 0.003678 0.004815 0.006512 0.009083 0.013584
2026-02-08 0.002264 0.002848 0.003626 0.004777 0.006514 0.009182 0.013935
2026-02-15 0.002222 0.002808 0.003595 0.004770 0.006562 0.009354 0.014425
2026-02-22 0.002161 0.002741 0.003524 0.004700 0.006511 0.009362 0.014619
2026-03-01 0.002107 0.002682 0.003463 0.004644 0.006477 0.009396 0.014861
2026-03-08 0.002072 0.002648 0.003435 0.004635 0.006518 0.009556 0.015348